A GOP mega-donor and hedge fund billionaire is fed up with the president and Republicans' inability to get things done despite having control of the Congress and the White House, so he's giving his money to Democrats.
The 19-point advantage is significantly larger than the final results of recent congressional elections.
Among all adults, Democrats held a wider lead of 10 percentage points over Republicans in the generic ballot. The poll found that in these seven districts combined, voters preferred the Democratic candidate to the Republican candidate 59% to 28%, in line with the average 30-point edge Democrats enjoyed in these districts in 2016 and 2014. "Not only are New Jersey Democrats doing better on the generic House ballot statewide, but the shift is coming nearly entirely from districts now held by the GOP".
Of those certain to vote, the margin is 49 percent to 44 percent, or a five point advantage for Democrats.
The poll's vote share in the seven seats now held by Democrats - a 31 percentage point gap - is in line with the average 30-point advantage Democrats held in these districts in both 2016 and 2014.
If the result holds in November, it could spell trouble for the five Republican representatives in the state.
President Trump is dragging down New Jersey Republicans, according to the poll. Nationally the new law has 41 percent support, while 42 percent are against it. Almost half (49 percent) of New Jerseyans expect that their tax bills will rise as a result of the overhaul, which scaled back the popular state and local tax deduction.
Oddly enough, as counterintuitive as it may seem, along with Trump's steadily improving job approval number (RCP average 43 percent), the Republican Party's 2018 prospects appear to be improving even as Democrats, special counsel Robert Mueller, and their allies in the corporate media attempt to personally and professionally destroy Trump in a series of coordinated attacks unlike any we have ever seen. "That's what makes this plan a particularly tough sell for Republican House candidates here", Murray said.
An NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll conducted April 8-11 - the same time frame as the Post-ABC poll - found a 7-point advantage in the generic congressional ballot for Democrats, down from a 10-point edge in March. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points for the full sample and 3.9 percentage points for registered voters.